Home Buyers Find Bidding Wars Again

Home buyers nationwide are being caught by surprise as the spring selling season swings into high gear. Bidding wars are back!

Many buyers are finding themselves competing for the same house. Unlike the bidding wars of the past, these recent bidding wars are the result of a shortage of inventory.

Sellers, meanwhile, are not seeing huge price increases or hefty profits, like some did during the boom years when prices were going through the roof. Competitive bidding in this current enviornment is being caused by tight inventories. More evidence that housing demand is starting to pick up again after a six-year slump.

According to a Wall Street Journal quarterly survey, the inventory of homes listed for sale declined sharply in all 28 markets they track. At the height of the housing crisis in 2008, there was an 11.1 months' supply of home for sale. In March, there was a 6.3 months' supply. Real estate agents normally consider a market to be balanced when there is a six month supply of homes for sale.

An index recently reported by the National Association of Realtors measuring the number of contracts signed to purchase previously owned homes rose in March to its highest level in nearly two years, up 12.8% from a year ago, and 4.1% from February.

Market inventory varies in different parts of the country, but the general consensus nationwide is, the number of houses for sale is edging down.

Inventories seem to be declinging for several reasons. Some sellers have taken their homes off the market to wait for prices to increase and market conditions to improve. Investors, meanwhile, have been outmaneuvering consumers for the best properties, often making cash offers that are quickly accepted by anxious sellers.

Improvements are obviously investments in your home, and most homeowners have a list of things they'd like to do to their home to make it their dream home. Things like: gutting the kitchen, reconfiguring the bathroom or repainting the entire outside of the home.

Some economists say inventory levels are artificially low because Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the nation's largest banks have been slow to list hundreds of thousands of foreclosed homes they own. Lenders slowed down the foreclosures after record-keeping abuses came to light 18 months ago.

If those same banks and lenders step up their efforts to unload their properties, inventories could quickly rise, putting pressure on prices again.

Even with bidding wars popping up again, pushing prices higher in some areas, many homes are still selling for prices much lower than they were a few years ago. Meanwhile, rents are rising at a time when mortgage levels have fallen to or near record lows. Many renters are finding rates so low they can now afford a house that was out of their price range just a year or two ago.

Housing markets face another danger. More than 11 million homeowners owe more than their home is worth, causing the trade-up market to completely stall. When homeowners can't sell their home, let along come up with the down payment for their next home, move up buying tends to dry up.

Mortgage lending standards remain very tough. Many "deals" fall apart because homes won't appraise for the price buyers have agreed to pay, and sellers are not willing to come down even more than they already have.

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Mortgage Rates Remain Near Record Lows

Mortgage rates have dipped to near record lows again, keeping home buying and refinancing very affordable.

Last week, mortgage buyer Freddit Mac reported the rate on the 30-year fixed rate loan had dropped to 3.88%, down from 3.9% a week ago. The rate hit 3.87% back in February, the lowest long term mortgage rate in history.

The average on the 15-year fixed rate mortgage dipped to 3.12%, down from 3.13% the previous week. The national average hit an all-time low of 3.11% just two weeks ago. Average rates do not include extra fees, aka points, which most borrowers have to pay in order to get the lowest rates. One point equals 1 percent of the loan amount.

So far, record low mortgage rates have done very little to boost home sales. Analysts suspect that a record warm winter may have something to do with that, as many sales that would have normally taken place during the spring buying season, actually took place in January and February.

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Spring Cleaning For Your Finances

With Spring in full force most everywhere now, and tax season once again behind us, now is a good time to do some "spring cleaning for your finances" to help you eliminate some of the paper clutter, and get better organized.

Here are some tips on Spring Cleaning for Your Finances and your office record keeping…

We welcome your comments and suggestions below.

Riverside County home buying is no different than home buying in any other part of the country. Home buyers all tend to make some pretty dumb mistakes from time to time.

If you're buying a Riverside County home, do yourself a favor: don't make the mistakes Money Talks editor Stacy Johnson outlines in this video…

There are a lot more Riverside County home buying mistakes to avoid, and we can help you avoid them. Contact us for more information and a free, no-obligation consultation about the Riverside County home buying process.

A Riverside County mortgage is more difficult to get these days than ever, but there are some things home buyers tend to do that delay, or even kill a deal.

This seems to be especially true during the time after signing a contract, and waiting for the home to close.

6 Things To Never Do When Trying to Obtain a Riverside County Mortgage

1. Don't make any large purchases like a new car or a bunch of new furniture for your newly purchased home. New debt comes with it, including new monthly obligations. New obligations create new qualifications. People with new debt have higher ratios. Higher ratios make for riskier loans, and sometimes qualified borrowers no longer qualify.
    
2. Don't apply for new credit. It doesn't matter whether it's a new credit card or a new car, when you have your credit report run by organizations in multiple financial channels (mortgages, credit cards, autos, etc.), your FICO score will be affected. Lower credit scores can determine your interest rate and maybe even your eligibility for approval.
    
3. Don't deposit unusual cash into your bank accounts. By "unusual cash", we mean, cash you would not normally come into, like money your parents gave you to help with the down payment. Lenders need to source your money and cash is not really traceable. Small, explainable deposits are fine, but getting $10,000 from your parents as a gift is not. Discuss the proper way to track your assets with your loan officer.
    
4. Don't co-sign any loans for anyone. When you co-sign, you are obligated. With that obligation comes higher ratios on your credit as well. Even if you swear you won't be making the payments, the lender will be counting the payment against you.
    
5. Don't change banks or bank accounts. Remember, lenders need to source and track assets. That task is significantly easier when there is a consistency of accounts. Before you even transfer money between accounts, talk to your loan officer to make sure it won't affect your mortgage application.
    
6. Don't close any credit accounts. Many people erroneously believe that having less available credit makes them less risky and more approvable. Wrong! A major component of your score is your length and depth of credit history (as opposed to just your payment history) and your total usage of credit as a percentage of available credit. Closing accounts has a negative impact on both those determinants of your FICO score.

The best advice we can give home buyers when applying for a Riverside County mortgage is to fully disclose and discuss your plans with your loan officer or mortgage broker. The smallest little blip on your credit report could cause you to lose the house you're waiting to close on! Wait until after you've closed on your new home before doing anything that could adversely affect your credit score or credit report.

For Riverside County borrowers refinancing mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2011, fixed-rate loans accounted for more than 95 percent of refinanced loans.

Refinancing Riverside County borrowers clearly preferred fixed-rate loans, regardless of whether their original loan was an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) or a fixed-rate. This news was based on Freddie Mac's Quarterly Product Transition Report released recently.

Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's chief economist says, "Fixed mortgage rates averaged 4.00 percent for 30-year loans and 3.30 percent for 15-year product during the fourth quarter in Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, well below long-term averages."

The Bureau of Economic Analysis has estimated the average coupon on single-family loans was about 5.2 percent during the fourth quarter of 2011.

An increasing share of refinancing Riverside County borrowers chose to shorten their loan terms during the fourth quarter. Of borrowers who paid off a 30-year fixed-rate loan, 43 percent chose a 15- or 20-year loan, the highest such share since the first quarter of 2003.

Fifty-eight percent of Riverside County borrowers who had a hybrid ARM transitioned to a fixed-rate loan during the fourth quarter, while the remaining 42 percent chose to refinance into the same type of product.

Riverside County Borrowers Can Gain More Savings

Nothaft further commented, "For borrowers motivated to refinance by low fixed-rates, they could obtain even lower rates by shortening their term. Compared to a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, the interest rate on 15-year fixed was about 0.7 percentage points lower during the fourth quarter. And for borrowers who plan to remain in their current home for only a few years, the hybrid ARM allows for even a greater interest-rate savings. The initial interest rate on a 5/1 hybrid ARM was about 1.1 percentage points lower than on a 30-year fixed-rate loan."

Higher Riverside County home prices are expected by 33 percent of consumers over the next year. Fannie Mae's March housing survey indicated 5 percent more people expect Riverside County home prices to increase this month over the 27 percent surveyed last month who thought prices would increase this year.

Nearly half of consumers expect higher rental prices as well, the highest number registered by Fannie Mae since its monthly tracking began in June 2010. Americans' rental price expectations for the next year continue to rise, reaching their record high level for the Fannie Mae survey this month.

The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to buy rose by three points to 73 percent, the highest level in more than a year, while the percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to sell rose one point to 14 percent this month.

Consumers' confidence about their own finances is stabilizing, with 44 percent expecting an improvement over the next year.

Higher Mortgage Rates Expected

There is an increasing share of consumers expecting both higher mortgage rates and Riverside County home prices over the next 12 months.

Doug Duncan, vice president and chief economist of Fannie Mae says, "Americans' rental price expectations for the next year continue to rise, reaching their record high level for our survey this month."

Duncan says, "Some may feel that renting is becoming more costly and that home ownership is a more compelling housing choice. Conditions are coming together to encourage people to want to buy homes."

While the "sales of existing homes in January and February marked the strongest start to a year since 2007," according to the combined Housing and Urban Development (HUD)/Treasury statement. "Data on home prices changed little from the previous month – marking a fifth month of seasonal lows."

For further Fannie Mae survey findings, visit the Fannie Mae Monthly National Housing site.